Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 15.332400 17.898291 20.693001 23.954163 27.645879 31.685893 36.431891
2025-03-02 10.774309 14.216551 18.357782 23.662903 30.230001 38.040955 47.977321
2025-03-09 8.132127 11.861654 16.722108 23.420016 32.294784 43.523207 58.655614
2025-03-16 5.981089 9.559903 14.571576 21.934958 32.278339 46.063248 65.548938
2025-03-23 5.084382 8.767721 14.238477 22.700676 35.147445 52.417661 77.736442
2025-03-30 4.463786 8.242556 14.157021 23.727074 38.373243 59.403961 91.195898
2025-04-06 3.644719 7.229236 13.151954 23.184822 39.162855 62.898663 99.875064
2025-04-13 2.886164 6.160693 11.876600 22.012116 38.798073 64.570618 105.897809
2025-04-20 2.644578 5.976602 12.043706 23.181474 42.176092 72.061651 121.013153
2025-04-27 2.480715 5.907628 12.391567 24.671025 46.165805 80.722125 138.386985
2025-05-04 2.201965 5.553213 12.163413 25.107064 48.400418 86.708352 151.890078
2025-05-11 1.902314 5.094495 11.668587 24.989609 49.644627 91.128662 163.100562
2025-05-18 1.601045 4.591299 11.056219 24.664012 50.639656 95.447742 174.840513
2025-05-25 1.350468 4.154248 10.521941 24.444574 51.844719 100.276784 187.865056
2025-06-01 1.139390 3.761584 10.015704 24.209826 52.983730 105.050811 201.071440
2025-06-08 0.881833 3.171028 8.959157 22.684486 51.481414 105.015138 205.969058
2025-06-15 0.800169 3.053684 8.984683 23.473033 54.579877 113.454568 226.129981
2025-06-22 0.741077 2.988698 9.126091 24.529275 58.295160 123.238243 249.172789
2025-06-29 0.615727 2.676652 8.589539 23.971353 58.625702 126.692616 260.960355
2025-07-06 0.486611 2.305464 7.823699 22.764534 57.456324 127.180286 267.295391
2025-07-13 0.460345 2.294416 8.042577 23.967912 61.586844 138.183364 293.727945
2025-07-20 0.445587 2.323396 8.379820 25.500440 66.552568 151.086510 324.307123
2025-07-27 0.399582 2.214205 8.295096 25.948987 69.120714 159.339253 346.397559